with about as many
climbs
as
GC
abandons
makin slim Pickens
fer stuff to analyze
but here goes
first up the climbs
stg 14 does away with any intermezo n goes straight
Jafferau
uh punchy little helion uva 9.2% 654 vert m climb topping at
1908 meters altitude
good fer uh pVAM uv 1689 m/hour
while stg 15
the GC pianos the Cenis out uv relevance
before going
Telegraphe
7.16% 848 vert m climb at 1566 meter
pVAM 1596 m/hour
quick eat uh gel
n right back at it on
the into thin air
Galibier
6.52% 862 vert m reaching the pantani monument
at 2295 meters altitude
pVAM 1495 m/h
or stg 15 could be rightly considered
as one monster
TeleGalibier
6.8% 1710 vert m rising again to the 2295 meters uv altitude
with a bit uva a downhil breather
half way up
pVAM 1455 m/h
recalling fer uh bit that
high pVAMs mean steep short low altitude
low pVAM mean less steep longer higher altitude
…
right then
stage set
stg 14 had Santambrogio n Nibali going 1-2
with a positive residual of 0.64%
or just under 1 percent faster than the predicted VAM
they were followed by
Uran at -1.5% or 1.5% slower than pVAM
n
Cadel at with a similar -1.7%
with only Scarponi getting truly dropped
at -6%
with nibali finally going faster
than the predicted VAM
n favorites coming in 1s and 2s
this climb is the first real look at their
flat out climbing
rather than tactical cat n mouse
n overall
its
(yawn big stretch)
eh
…
the bigger question is what to make of stg 15
at first pass
over the telegraphe
the maglia rosa group put in a modest
-6%
while Gesink took off at a decent
-3.74%
after a short downhill
Gesink detonated on the Galibier
while the the maglia rosa
tempoed it in at
-6.25%
which might be plausible based on a general shit weather cease fire
or
that the two climbs ride more like one
with a little breather
and the maglia rosa group
put in a 0.01% or an actual performance
in line with the predicted
pushing Gesinks attack well into the unsustainable range
based on the select but not fully decimated group that went 0.01
it looks like more like the climb rides more like
Tele-Galibier*
or
“Tele-Galibier”
but with the presence of Scarponi
it would be awful generous to call it one climb
so yes interlaced
but still clearly separate for purposes uv
the pVAM model
…
now
in GC overal terms
what we’re left with is
whether by
abandons
weather
cleaner racers
or general grabassery
uh slow GT
notice that almost all the residuals
are negative
bars go down
slower than predicted
however yuh wanna think uv it
realy only Nibali and Santambrogio have gone
at GT winning pace
n
only on stage 14
Uran had one decent day on stg 10
n
that’s it
Evans
is still in the hunt
without putting in any GT winning performance
n
Scarponi
is hangin top 5
by default alone
which leaves us agreein
with the riders on one thing
lets hope this thing heats up uh bit
No Comments